Spatial Distancing and Regional Economic Resilience in the Time of COVID-19
First Impressions of an Open Discussion
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.13037/gr.vol40.e20248283Keywords:
Resilience, COVID-19, Spatial distancing, ShocksAbstract
Due to COVID-19, measures aimed at spatial distancing—the practice of avoiding physical proximity among people to prevent the spread of disease—likely negatively affected the level of employment and the generation of regional wealth because businesses in many sectors were closed. In this context, we analyzed spatial distancing data from a regional economic resilience perspective. Our only variable was a spatial distancing index collected for the Brazilian states from February 2020 until July 2020. We transformed the time series to guarantee stationarity, making it possible to calculate the Pearson linear correlation. The lowest coefficient was 0.85, which indicated a strong positive correlation among the series. Due to regional disparities, shocks affect distinct regions differently. However, our results showed that Brazilian states behave similarly to the spatial distancing index, suggesting that this index is not an advisable predictor of short-term regional economic resilience concerning the studied shock.
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